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Basketball
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
+10.8%
1d ago
% life +EV
17%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.7% to +10.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$71
0.71× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 69% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
4d
2
Luka Doncic
Grail
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
1d
3
Cade Cunningham
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,000
30.00×
—
0.020%
$0.60
14d
4
Larry Bird
Chase
2024-25 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$429
4.29×
—
0.250%
$1.07
1d
5
Nikola Jokic
Chase
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$420
4.20×
—
0.250%
$1.05
1d
6
Jayson Tatum
Chase
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$379
3.79×
—
0.250%
$0.95
23h
7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Chase
2025-26 Topps · psa 9.0
$338
3.38×
—
0.250%
$0.85
13h
8
Keyonte George
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$318
3.18×
—
0.250%
$0.80
17h
9
Luka Doncic
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
23h
10
Cade Cunningham
Chase
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$257
2.57×
—
0.250%
$0.64
12h
11
Tony Parker
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012-13 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$257
2.57×
—
0.250%
$0.64
1d
12
Stephen Curry/LeBron James/Kevin Durant
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 10.0
$165
1.65×
—
1.960%
$3.23
8h
13
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0
$165
1.65×
—
1.960%
$3.23
6h
14
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$159
1.59×
—
1.960%
$3.12
7h
15
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 9.0
$148
1.48×
—
1.960%
$2.91
7h
16
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$128
1.28×
—
1.960%
$2.50
8h
17
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$125
1.25×
—
1.960%
$2.46
6h
18
Anthony Davis
2020-21 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$125
1.25×
—
1.960%
$2.45
6h
19
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$124
1.24×
—
1.960%
$2.42
14m 23s
20
Chris Paul
2005-06 Upper Deck SP Game Used · psa 10.0
$120
1.20×
—
1.960%
$2.35
16h
21
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Skybox Premium · psa 9.0
$115
1.15×
—
1.960%
$2.25
6h
22
Yao Ming
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$107
1.07×
—
1.960%
$2.10
6h
23
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$106
1.05×
—
1.960%
$2.07
8h
24
Kon Knueppel/Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$104
1.04×
—
1.960%
$2.04
6h
25
Stephen Curry
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.960%
$1.98
12h
26
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$100
1.00×
—
1.960%
$1.97
6h
27
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Topps Finest · psa 8.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.960%
$1.93
6h
28
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.960%
$1.92
6h
29
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$93
0.93×
—
1.960%
$1.82
12h
30
Devin Booker
2015-16 Panini Complete · psa 10.0
$92
0.92×
—
1.960%
$1.81
11h
31
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$90
0.90×
—
1.960%
$1.76
19h
32
Michael Jordan
1990-91 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
1.960%
$1.62
11h
33
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$78
0.78×
—
1.960%
$1.53
6h
34
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.960%
$1.47
7h
35
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.960%
$1.47
8h
36
Kevin Durant
2007-08 Upper Deck Rookie Box Set · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
1.960%
$1.39
6h
37
Stephen Curry
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
1.960%
$1.39
6h
38
Stephen Curry
2019-20 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$71
0.71×
—
1.960%
$1.39
9h
39
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.960%
$1.37
7h
40
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$70
0.69×
—
1.960%
$1.36
11h
41
Xavier McDaniel
1986-87 Fleer · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.960%
$1.25
8h
42
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Flux · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
7h
43
Stephen Curry
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.960%
$1.19
11h
44
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.960%
$1.19
8h
45
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$60
0.60×
—
1.960%
$1.18
6h
46
Darius Garland
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$57
0.57×
—
1.960%
$1.12
6h
47
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$57
0.57×
—
1.960%
$1.12
6h
48
LeBron James
2017-18 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.960%
$1.02
18h
49
Michael Jordan
1993-94 Fleer · psa 9.0
$51
0.51×
—
1.960%
$1.00
6h
50
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$49
0.49×
—
1.960%
$0.96
6h
51
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Certified · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.960%
$0.94
6h
52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.960%
$0.91
9h
53
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.960%
$0.82
7h
54
Jalen Suggs
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
8h
55
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
6h
56
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1993-94 Topps Stadium Club · beckett 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
21h
57
Matas Buzelis
2024-25 Panini Revolution · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
8h
58
Victor Wembanyama
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
8h
59
Dylan Windler
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.960%
$0.73
6h
60
Luka Doncic
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$34
0.34×
—
1.960%
$0.67
9h
61
Kawhi Leonard
2018-19 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$9
0.09×
—
1.960%
$0.18
50m 23s
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$87.38
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