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Basketball
Ruby $250 WARM
Peak 7d
-1.9%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -21.3% to -1.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
3.73%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$189
0.76× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 76% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Stephen Curry
Grail
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$8,761
35.05×
—
0.030%
$2.63
4d
2
Nikola Jokic
Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$6,699
26.80×
—
0.030%
$2.01
1d
3
Anthony Edwards
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$6,699
26.80×
—
0.030%
$2.01
1d
4
Paolo Banchero
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0
$793
3.17×
—
0.240%
$1.90
7h
5
David Robinson
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$793
3.17×
—
0.240%
$1.90
1d
6
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$629
2.52×
—
0.240%
$1.51
5d
7
Anfernee Hardaway
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$613
2.45×
—
0.240%
$1.47
11h
8
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$608
2.43×
—
0.240%
$1.46
1d
9
Luka Doncic
Chase
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$563
2.25×
—
0.240%
$1.35
1d
10
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$561
2.24×
—
1.960%
$10.99
6h
11
Yao Ming
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$548
2.19×
—
0.240%
$1.32
6h
12
Kon Knueppel
Chase
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$475
1.90×
—
0.240%
$1.14
6h
13
Grant Hill
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$432
1.73×
—
1.960%
$8.47
7h
14
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$414
1.66×
—
1.960%
$8.11
9h
15
LeBron James
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$398
1.59×
—
1.960%
$7.79
7h
16
Michael Jordan
1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$363
1.45×
—
1.960%
$7.12
8h
17
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0
$363
1.45×
—
1.960%
$7.12
6h
18
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$299
1.20×
—
1.960%
$5.86
14h
19
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$263
1.05×
—
1.960%
$5.16
22h
20
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$258
1.03×
—
1.960%
$5.06
9h
21
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0
$253
1.01×
—
1.960%
$4.96
11h
22
Shaquille O'Neal
1995-96 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$250
1.00×
—
1.960%
$4.90
6h
23
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.65
19h
24
Donovan Mitchell
2023-24 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.65
8h
25
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$224
0.90×
—
1.960%
$4.39
9h
26
Charles Barkley
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$222
0.89×
—
1.960%
$4.35
13h
27
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 10.0
$220
0.88×
—
1.960%
$4.31
8h
28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.960%
$4.24
8h
29
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Totally Certified · psa 10.0
$211
0.84×
—
1.960%
$4.14
8h
30
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$209
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.09
2h
31
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 9.0
$207
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.06
11h
32
Stephon Marbury
2003-04 Bowman · psa 9.0
$206
0.82×
—
1.960%
$4.04
5h
33
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
—
1.960%
$3.84
11h
34
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 10.0
$194
0.78×
—
1.960%
$3.80
6h
35
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 8.0
$193
0.77×
—
1.960%
$3.78
10h
36
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$189
0.76×
—
1.960%
$3.71
6h
37
Michael Jordan
2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$188
0.75×
—
1.960%
$3.68
11h
38
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps · psa 8.0
$187
0.75×
—
1.960%
$3.67
16h
39
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$185
0.74×
—
1.960%
$3.62
7h
40
Kobe Bryant
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$174
0.70×
—
1.960%
$3.41
6h
41
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$170
0.68×
—
1.960%
$3.33
13h
42
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$165
0.66×
—
1.960%
$3.23
19h
43
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Contenders Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$157
0.63×
—
1.960%
$3.08
15h
44
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
—
1.960%
$3.03
6h
45
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 8.0
$149
0.60×
—
1.960%
$2.92
11h
46
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck MVP Holograms · psa 8.0
$147
0.59×
—
1.960%
$2.88
7h
47
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$144
0.58×
—
1.960%
$2.82
9h
48
Michael Jordan
1996 Upper Deck USA · psa 9.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.960%
$2.76
10h
49
Shaquille O'Neal
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.960%
$2.76
7h
50
Magic Johnson
1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0
$138
0.55×
—
1.960%
$2.70
7h
51
Tyrese Maxey
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$136
0.55×
—
1.960%
$2.67
9h
52
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1989-90 NBA Hoops · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
21h
53
Jeremy Sochan
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Flux · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
11h
54
U.S. Olympic Basketball Team
1992 Impel U.S. Olympicards · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
6h
55
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1991-92 NBA Hoops · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
8h
56
Brooks Barnhizer
No Market Comps Found
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cactus Jack x NBA All-Star Game · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
6h
57
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
6h
58
Larry Bird
1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
6h
59
LeBron James
No Market Comps Found
2003-04 Upper Deck MVP · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
13h
60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$98
0.39×
—
1.960%
$1.92
37m 19s
61
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$97
0.39×
—
1.960%
$1.89
8h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$218.36
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