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Basketball
Ruby $250 WARM
Peak 7d
-1.9%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -21.3% to -1.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
2.01%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$187
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 76% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Stephen Curry
Grail
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$8,761
35.05×
—
0.030%
$2.63
4d
2
Nikola Jokic
Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$6,699
26.80×
—
0.030%
$2.01
1d
3
Anthony Edwards
Grail
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$6,699
26.80×
—
0.030%
$2.01
1d
4
David Robinson
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$793
3.17×
—
0.240%
$1.90
1d
5
Stephen Curry
Chase
2014-15 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$664
2.66×
—
0.240%
$1.59
2d
6
Paolo Banchero
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0
$664
2.66×
—
0.240%
$1.59
6h
7
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Contenders Optic · psa 9.0
$629
2.52×
—
0.240%
$1.51
5d
8
Anfernee Hardaway
Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$613
2.45×
—
0.240%
$1.47
10h
9
Michael Jordan
Chase
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$608
2.43×
—
0.240%
$1.46
23h
10
Luka Doncic
Chase
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$563
2.25×
—
0.240%
$1.35
23h
11
Yao Ming
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$548
2.19×
—
0.240%
$1.32
5h
12
Grant Hill
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$432
1.73×
—
1.960%
$8.47
6h
13
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$414
1.66×
—
1.960%
$8.11
8h
14
LeBron James
2004-05 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$398
1.59×
—
1.960%
$7.79
6h
15
Michael Jordan
1992-93 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$363
1.45×
—
1.960%
$7.12
7h
16
Michael Jordan
2002-03 Flair · psa 9.0
$323
1.29×
—
1.960%
$6.34
16h
17
Charles Barkley
1997-98 Topps · psa 9.0
$302
1.21×
—
1.960%
$5.92
16h
18
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$299
1.20×
—
1.960%
$5.86
13h
19
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$263
1.05×
—
1.960%
$5.16
21h
20
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$258
1.03×
—
1.960%
$5.06
8h
21
Rui Hachimura
2019-20 Panini One and One · psa 9.0
$255
1.02×
—
1.960%
$5.00
18h
22
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Upper Deck Collector's Choice · psa 9.0
$253
1.01×
—
1.960%
$4.96
10h
23
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.65
18h
24
Donovan Mitchell
2023-24 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$237
0.95×
—
1.960%
$4.65
7h
25
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$224
0.90×
—
1.960%
$4.39
8h
26
Charles Barkley
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$222
0.89×
—
1.960%
$4.35
12h
27
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 10.0
$220
0.88×
—
1.960%
$4.31
8h
28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
—
1.960%
$4.24
7h
29
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Totally Certified · psa 10.0
$211
0.84×
—
1.960%
$4.14
7h
30
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$209
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.09
2h
31
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 9.0
$207
0.83×
—
1.960%
$4.06
10h
32
Stephon Marbury
2003-04 Bowman · psa 9.0
$206
0.82×
—
1.960%
$4.04
4h
33
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome Cosmic · psa 10.0
$196
0.78×
—
1.960%
$3.84
10h
34
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 8.0
$193
0.77×
—
1.960%
$3.78
9h
35
Michael Jordan
2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$188
0.75×
—
1.960%
$3.68
10h
36
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Topps · psa 8.0
$187
0.75×
—
1.960%
$3.67
16h
37
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$185
0.74×
—
1.960%
$3.62
6h
38
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$182
0.73×
—
1.960%
$3.56
6h
39
Michael Olowokandi
1998-99 Skybox E-X Century · psa 8.0
$181
0.72×
—
1.960%
$3.54
15h
40
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$170
0.68×
—
1.960%
$3.33
12h
41
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$165
0.66×
—
1.960%
$3.23
18h
42
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Contenders Draft Picks · psa 10.0
$157
0.63×
—
1.960%
$3.08
14h
43
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Hoops Premium Stock · psa 10.0
$156
0.62×
—
1.960%
$3.06
7h
44
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 8.0
$149
0.60×
—
1.960%
$2.92
10h
45
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Upper Deck MVP Holograms · psa 8.0
$147
0.59×
—
1.960%
$2.88
6h
46
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$144
0.58×
—
1.960%
$2.82
8h
47
Michael Jordan
1996 Upper Deck USA · psa 9.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.960%
$2.76
9h
48
Shaquille O'Neal
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.960%
$2.76
6h
49
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Fleer Force · psa 8.0
$141
0.56×
—
1.960%
$2.76
11h
50
Magic Johnson
1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0
$138
0.55×
—
1.960%
$2.70
6h
51
Tyrese Maxey
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$136
0.55×
—
1.960%
$2.67
8h
52
Matas Buzelis
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$103
0.41×
—
1.960%
$2.03
15h
53
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1989-90 NBA Hoops · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
20h
54
Jeremy Sochan
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2022-23 Panini Flux · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
10h
55
LeBron James
No Market Comps Found
2016-17 Panini Excalibur · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
7h
56
Kevin Durant
2007-08 Topps Chrome · beckett 9.0
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
8h
57
Michael Jordan
No Market Comps Found
1991-92 NBA Hoops · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
7h
58
LeBron James
No Market Comps Found
2003-04 Upper Deck MVP · beckett 9.5
$100
0.40×
—
1.960%
$1.96
12h
59
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$98
0.39×
—
1.960%
$1.92
10h
60
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$97
0.39×
—
1.960%
$1.89
7h
61
Chauncey Billups
1997-98 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$71
0.29×
—
1.960%
$1.40
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$211.22
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